tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-56055712011-04-21T16:02:29.659-07:00The GamblerJust like The Timekiller, but with half the carbs...DJ Specnoreply@blogger.comBlogger691100tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1095201855334974502004-09-14T15:43:00.000-07:002004-09-14T15:44:15.333-07:00THE TIMEKILLER TEN
10 Things on My Mind....and now on yours
1. Back To Blogging
I've got to get back to blogging. It's been a while. I've been lazy. It's not good for me or for any of you. Actually, maybe it is good for you and it would be good for me if I was using my former blogging time to actually do something productive, but come on - I'm The Timekiller. Like I'm really using that time to DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1094669791170176372004-09-08T11:56:00.000-07:002004-09-08T11:56:31.170-07:00WEEK ONE BY THE BOOK
Wonder what NFL teams are attracting a lot of action leading up to week 1's games? Read all about it.
DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1094148906055457512004-09-02T11:14:00.000-07:002004-09-02T11:15:06.056-07:00UTEP +25 at ARIZONA ST.
The thinking in this game is relatively simple -- you have to be a pretty damn good team to cover a 26 point spread no matter who you are playing against. So is Arizona St. a great team? We'll see, but at the moment I don't think so. That's why UTEP is the play.
Despite having a big time quarterback, ASU is coming off an extremely disappointing season and on top of that,DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1094061157605360392004-09-01T10:52:00.000-07:002004-09-01T10:52:37.606-07:00EASTERN MICHIGAN -6 BUFFALO
This one's a battle of two of the worst teams in all of college football last season (and likely again this season) but it is nonetheless offering a very tempting bet opportunity. I like Eastern Michigan, playing at home in their first game for a new coach against a Buffalo team getting less than a touchdown. Eastern Michigan may not be the best team in the world, butDJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1093977119691333762004-08-31T11:31:00.000-07:002004-08-31T11:31:59.690-07:00Boston College -17.5 at Ball St.
In doing some early research, I have a hunch that I will have a couple more plays for this Thursday night, but I'll start things off with this one. There's several reasons I like Boston College in this game despite the big number to lay in a first game of the season.
First of all, it fits the only system that worked well for me last season which is double-digit DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1093906394026241692004-08-30T15:49:00.000-07:002004-08-30T15:53:14.026-07:00BACK FROM THE DEAD?
Is The Gambler going to be resurected for the new football season? Possibly. Just in case, I figured I'd post the results of my first bet of the year. I put $20 on Virginia Tech this weekend getting 17.5 points and $10 on the whopping +850 money line. Split the result, but won some cash at least.
NCAA Bets: 1-1
Point Spread Bets: 1-0
Money Line Bets: 0-1
Bankroll: + DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1069022908592671612003-11-16T14:48:00.000-08:002003-11-16T14:48:50.186-08:00SUNDAY ACTION
It’s been a second half bet kind of day. In the early games my lone play was on the Bengals +3.5 in the second half (a winner), while in the late games I have money on Minnesota –4.5 (not looking good), Indianapolis –6.5 (looking decent), and a few just-added second half bets including Indy +1/2 point, Denver pick em, and Seattle pick em.
DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1068918982089323642003-11-15T09:56:00.000-08:002003-11-15T09:57:00.296-08:00SATURDAY’S ACTION
I’ve got 7 college system plays on the board today, along with yet another parlay attempt and a first-ever 50-point Dog Bonus Bet. Here’s the picks…
Michigan -17.5 at TK
The heavy road favorites have been solid so far this season, and 58% of Wagerline is with me on the Wolverines.
Michigan St. +2 at Wisconsin
61% of Wagerline sides with me in this game, but the Spartans are DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1068792830798834752003-11-13T22:53:00.000-08:002003-11-13T22:54:10.530-08:00THE UPDATE: BETTER LATE THAN NEVER
A little late with last week’s results, but there wasn’t much worth writing about. My whopping 12 college plays went 7-5 and I lost yet another cheap parlay (what else is new?). The end result was I finished up $17.26 for the day. Woo hoo! I’ll take what I can get at this point.
A look inside the numbers reveals that my college system has been less than DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1068368062403507642003-11-09T00:54:00.000-08:002003-11-09T00:54:32.390-08:00SUNDAY’S ACTION
Seattle -3.5 at Washington
The Redskins are a mess so even though I’m not totally sold on Seattle yet, I’ll take them in this one. 66% of Wagerline agrees.
Indianapolis -6 at Jacksonville
Indy is just flat out a much better team than the Jaguars and a whopping 79% of Wagerline agrees with the pick.
Minnesota –5.5 at San Diego
Another popular pick, 77% of Wagerline is on the DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1068275881168485892003-11-07T23:17:00.000-08:002003-11-07T23:17:59.146-08:00SPEECHLESS SATURDAY
Well I knew that heading into this weekend I was going to have a lot at stake considering I have slowly but surely been losing money. But I had no idea just how big this weekend would be for me until I started to see which plays fit my system and discovered that I will have 13 GAMES IN PLAY tomorrow. I can only pray that the gambling gods are with me. Here’s the picks…
DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1067830694078755172003-11-02T19:38:00.000-08:002003-11-02T19:38:12.456-08:00MOVING IN THE WRONG DIRECTION
Well, I didn’t quite get around to posting my NFL picks this week but unfortunately they really were not worth bragging about anyway. I finished 2-3 on the day, with wins on Dallas and Seattle overshadowed by losses on St. Louis, Carolina, and Cincinnati. It’s all very disappointing because I actually felt pretty good about this week’s action going into it, but I DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1067665969450638622003-10-31T21:52:00.000-08:002003-10-31T21:52:48.656-08:00SATURDAY’S ACTION
It’s amazing how being down only double digits seems like a distant memory even though it was really just a couple weeks ago. Regardless, I could really use a winning weekend as I’m staring down the barrel of a $200 deficit. Not good. Here’s this week’s picks…
Michigan St. +4 vs. Michigan
A few weeks ago I said I thought MSU might be overated and they promptly went out and DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1067665261399975432003-10-31T21:40:00.000-08:002003-10-31T21:41:00.136-08:00HOUSEKEEPING
Just realized I never posted the result of my second half bet on the Monday night game. Needless to say, that’s because it was forgettable. But just for the record…I lost.
OVERALL RECORD: 49-58
NFL RECORD: 19-27
COLLEGE RECORD: 30-28
PARLAY RECORD: 0-3
BANKROLL: - $182.43
EMAILS RECEIVED CRITICIZING MY PICKS: 1
DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1067312144365416752003-10-27T19:34:00.000-08:002003-10-27T19:35:43.530-08:00SECOND HALF ACTION
Dolphins look good, Chargers look bad. I'll take the Dolphins +1 in the second half and see what happens.DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1067230957913699372003-10-26T21:02:00.000-08:002003-10-26T21:02:37.630-08:00WEEKEND WRAP-UP
It was another uneventful weekend for The Gambler, as I had action on a lot of games but when all was said and done wound up just about even, losing a whopping $7 total for the weekend.
My nine college plays finished 4-5 and included a near-miss on my parlay thanks to NC State. One of these days I might actually hit a parlay, but in the meantime I’m glad I’m only betting $10 DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1067188258084126742003-10-26T09:10:00.000-08:002003-10-26T09:10:57.740-08:00SUNDAY’S PLAYS
This week’s lineup of games looks pretty tough, but I came up with three picks I like nonetheless. They are…
Tennessee -4 at Jacksonville
A week after I was down on the Titans, I’m now hopping on the bandwagon a bit. Hopefully I won’t be a week too late. The Titans certainly have become popular as 80% of Wagerline is betting on them this week.
Minnesota -5.5 vs. New York
TheDJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1066981635675573682003-10-24T00:47:00.000-07:002003-10-24T00:47:15.136-07:00THIS SATURDAY’S SLATE
A full nine games to bet this weekend and a $10 parlay to make an even 10 bets on Saturday. Here’s what the system’s got me playing this week…
Ohio St. -20.5 at Indiana
Big spread, but at least I’ve got the better team. 71% of Wagerline bettors are with the defending national champs in this one as well.
Minnesota -15 at Illinois
Another heavy Big 10 road favorite in DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1066891800130917162003-10-22T23:49:00.000-07:002003-10-22T23:49:59.620-07:00SYSTEM SLUMP
The recent struggles of the big road favorite aspect of my college system continued tonight as Virginia Tech got pasted by West Virginia. A very disappointing and costly performance turned in by the Hokies this evening. Turns out 65% of Wagerline players were wrong as well.
OVERALL RECORD: 42-50
NFL RECORD: 16-25
COLLEGE RECORD: 26-23
PARLAY RECORD: 0-2
BANKROLL: - $154.56
DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1066798365003464642003-10-21T21:52:00.000-07:002003-10-21T21:52:44.436-07:00 RATINGS REVEALED
Here’s a look this week’s power ratings. Probably most surprising is the rise of the Dallas Cowboys to the number 2 slot combined with a steep drop for the Bucs and Broncos after last week’s losses.
1. Vikings: 30
2. Cowboys: 26.7
3. Chiefs: 21.7
4. Bucs: 20.3
5. Seahawks: 19.7
6. Colts: 18.5
7. 49ers: 17.9
8. Rams: 16.1
9. Broncos: 13.5
10. Titans: 12.7
11. Dolphins: 7.7
12DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1066796844606501022003-10-21T21:27:00.000-07:002003-10-21T21:27:24.393-07:00MID-WEEK ACTION
A Wednesday night NCAA game this week brings with it my first bet of the week. I’ve got Virginia Tech -13 at West Virginia which qualifies as a big road favorite system play tomorrow night. I like the pick because I think Tech is for real – for some reason Wagerline doesn’t have the game listed. Bizarre….
DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1066717189099978572003-10-20T23:19:00.000-07:002003-10-20T23:19:48.986-07:00MONDAY IS MONEY
Well, I salvaged a little of the weekend’s losses thanks to the Chiefs tonight. A solid win, although they did their best to make me sweat it out at the end.
On another note, it’s been four weeks since I trashed the hideous NFL system that absolutely killed me early in the year and I have to say that since I jumped ship things have really turned around. In fact, I’ve actually DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1066623361256774872003-10-19T21:15:00.000-07:002003-10-19T21:16:01.206-07:00WEEKEND WRAP-UP
This weekend featured plenty of action, but not a whole lot of winning unfortunately. On Saturday, my 9 college system plays finished a remarkable 4-4 with a push on the UCLA game so I basically broke even, losing just a little juice and my $10 parlay. The big road favorites, which have been by far the strongest segment of my system this season, has definitely started to slow DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1066498237281146062003-10-18T10:30:00.000-07:002003-10-18T10:30:37.000-07:00SUNDAY’S ACTION
I’ve got five NFL bets heading into tomorrow and of course there’s a decent chance I will add some second half plays to this list. Here’s what I’ve got so far…
Carolina -1.5 vs. Tennessee
Since this game is being played in Carolina this spread is essentially suggesting that Tennessee is a better team than Carolina – I don’t believe that but apparently 64% of Wagerline bettors DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1066366765271322692003-10-16T21:59:00.000-07:002003-10-16T21:59:24.593-07:00A PACKED SATURDAY SLATE
After just a handful of college system plays last weekend, this Saturday the system has a whopping 9 games in play – not counting my bonus parlay of the week. This leaves me with a great opportunity to have a big day but an equally frightening chance at disaster. Here’s what I’ve got going…
Syracuse +3.5 vs. Boston College
The segment of the system that recommends DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1066289281427360862003-10-16T00:27:00.000-07:002003-10-16T00:28:41.810-07:00THE GAMBLER POWER RANKINGS
Here’s this week’s rankings – for a comparison to last week click here.
1. Tampa Bay: 31.2
2. Minnesota: 29.5
3. Denver: 21.1
4. Kansas City: 20.1
5. Indy: 18.5
6. Seattle: 17.7
7. Dallas: 17.5
8. St. Louis: 16.5
9. San Francisco: 14
10. Miami: 11.5
11. Tennessee: 7.5
12. New England: 6.3
13. Green Bay: 3.9
14. Baltimore: 2.9
15. Carolina: 2.1
16. Jets: 0.8
17. DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1066028101577987382003-10-12T23:54:00.000-07:002003-10-12T23:55:01.746-07:00A WINNING WEEKEND
A mediocre college Saturday was overcome by a strong NFL Sunday this weekend as I continued to cut into the season’s losses. My college system picks proved poor, as I went just 1-4 including a couple of blowouts (nice work Mack Brown). But on the bright side my first money line play of the year on Miami proved a shrewd investment and made up for most of the system losses. DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1066010559330895292003-10-12T19:01:00.000-07:002003-10-12T19:02:39.423-07:00MORE SECOND HALF FUN
Can I go 2-0 on second half bets today? We'll see, as I just added a wager on Seattle + 1/2 point for the second half.DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1065983576705198102003-10-12T11:32:00.000-07:002003-10-12T11:32:56.373-07:00SECOND HALF ACTION
The second half fun continues this week with a play on the Titans laying a 1/2 point against the Texans.DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1065918185966043342003-10-11T17:22:00.000-07:002003-10-11T17:23:05.796-07:00SUNDAY’S PLAYS
I’ve got three NFL plays for tomorrow, though if Jake Plummer is officially named the starter I may add an additional play on the Broncos. Here’s what I’ve got so far…
Baltimore -5.5 at Arizona
The Ravens are the better team, plus they’re coming off a bye week and a loss. The Ravens are also an extremely popular play on Wagerline this week, with 79% of the action in this game DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1065764270965343572003-10-09T22:37:00.000-07:002003-10-09T22:37:50.610-07:00A STRANGE SATURDAY
So I’ve placed this weekend’s college system plays and I have to say it’s a bit of an odd lot with only one game fitting the most successful part of the system so far (heavy road favorites) and that game is on a UCLA team that has looked awful until the second half of last week’s game against an Arizona team that has been terrible but now has a new coach. We’ll see how it DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1065589083780697682003-10-07T21:57:00.000-07:002003-10-09T21:47:22.413-07:00THE GAMBLER PULLS RANK
It seems like everybody who’s anybody has their own set of NFL power rankings these days, so I figured it was about time The Gambler develop his own. I’ve developed a rating system that takes into account points scored/allowed, yardage gained/allowed and turnover margin and translates those stats into a numerical ranking for each team in the league. That ranking can be aDJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1065412306114778412003-10-05T20:51:00.000-07:002003-10-05T20:51:46.306-07:00WEEKEND WRAP UP
It wasn’t the best of weekends, wasn’t the worst of weekends. Amazing how you can make a dozen bets and wind up just about even after two days of football.
My college plays finished 4-3 as the system continues to be decent. Of course I threw $10 away on a parlay also, but still managed a small win for the weekend’s college action. I wish I could say the same for my NFL DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1065379133484160052003-10-05T11:38:00.000-07:002003-10-05T11:39:34.740-07:00SECOND HALF ACTION
I’ve added a pair of halftime wagers for your (and my) viewing enjoyment. I’ve got the Cowboys –1 over Arizona in the second half and the Raiders +1.5 over the Bears in the second half.
DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1065325827429964882003-10-04T20:50:00.000-07:002003-10-04T20:50:26.846-07:00SUNDAY’S NFL ACTION
I’m playing three games tomorrow as of the moment, though if the Dallas game somehow drops below 7, I will probably add a play on the Cowboys. There’s a good chance I will wind up with some 2nd half plays tomorrow as well. Here’s the picks as of now…
Jacksonville -3 vs. San Diego
I find it hard to believe that San Diego will be able to bounce back from last week’s tough DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1065156818825983802003-10-02T21:53:00.000-07:002003-10-02T21:54:17.910-07:00SYSTEM FEVER -- IT'S CONTAGIOUS
Apparently I'm not the only one who's noticed the success of heavily favored road teams in college football over the past few years. Check out this column which breaks down the numbers even further and points out that "NCAA road favorites priced at -14 or higher are a 65 percent ATS proposition dating back to 2001."
DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1065153635389916882003-10-02T21:00:00.000-07:002003-10-03T00:46:51.166-07:00COLLEGE ACTION
I’ve got a full slate of college bets this Saturday including my first shot at a parlay for the year. I placed a small $10 parlay on the five games which fit the big road favorite part of my college system (a segment of the system which has gone 8-1 so far this season) in addition to betting them straight up of course. Parlays are always a reach, but I figured I’d give it a shotDJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1064903722275240462003-09-29T23:35:00.000-07:002003-09-29T23:35:21.923-07:00BITTERSWEET VICTORY
Well, that late Bears garbage-time touchdown killed my second half bet, but I still managed a small win for the game thanks to betting more on the Packers than I did on the halftime wager. Still would have been nice to finish perfect for the weekend. Anyway, I’ll settle for 4-1 on the weekend’s NFL action.
OVERALL RECORD: 24-29
NFL RECORD: 8-18
COLLEGE RECORD: 16-11
DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1064889827212577032003-09-29T19:42:00.000-07:002003-09-29T19:43:46.733-07:00MORE SECOND HALF FUN
My Packers bet is looking good so far - hopefully it holds up. In the meantime, I've also thrown a little bit of action on the Packers in the second half +1. We'll see how it goes...DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1064812552264492212003-09-28T22:15:00.000-07:002003-09-28T22:15:52.203-07:00SYSTEM? I DON’T NEED NO STINKIN’ SYSTEM!
So my first Sunday of NFL action without using my dreaded NFL pointspread “system” marked my first winning Sunday of the year. I went 3-0 on the day, even winning a 2nd half bet (I now plan on at least checking those spreads regularly the rest of the season – seems like there could be some good value there). A winning Saturday and Sunday this weekend…DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1064785539802807942003-09-28T14:45:00.000-07:002003-09-28T14:45:39.320-07:00PANTHERS PART TWO
Carolina is looking good and with a solid defense and strong RB, it looks like they may have a chance to run away with this one against Atlanta. This has led me to place a second half bet on Carolina as a pick ‘em. It’s my first second half bet of the season – figured it was worth a shot.
DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1064727144243195072003-09-27T22:32:00.000-07:002003-09-27T22:32:24.080-07:00LIFE AFTER THE SYSTEM
As you loyal Gambler readers are well aware this is the first week of the NFL season in which I will be going without a system dictating my plays. Based on how the system I was using fared in the first three weeks, I can only imagine this will be a good thing no matter how shaky my handicapping skills may be. Here’s what I’ve got going for this week…
Chiefs –3 at Ravens
DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1064725935917696242003-09-27T22:12:00.000-07:002003-09-27T22:12:15.970-07:00TECHNICAL DIFFICULTIES
Well, thanks to some technical difficulties with my online sportsbook I wasn’t able to place bets until late this morning which means I missed any potential early bets and didn’t get a chance to post my picks until after the fact. I was only able to get 4 bets in today, but the good news is that 3 of them covered. My plays included…
USC –13.5 at Cal (who is quickly DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1064448990780589042003-09-24T17:16:00.000-07:002003-09-24T17:16:30.766-07:00FEEDBACK...FOR BETTER OR WORSE
Ladies and gentlemen, winners and losers, Gambler fans everywhere...
I am proud to introduce The Gambler's new comments sections which will allow you all to criticize me with ease by clicking on the comments link below each post. This way I will be able to not only lose money by making terrible bets all season long, but I can reap the rewards of even greater DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1064289283225238882003-09-22T20:54:00.000-07:002003-09-22T20:54:42.600-07:00R.I.P. – THE NFL POINTSPREAD SYSTEM
Born: 9/1/2003 Died: 9/22/2003
Somebody wave the white flag - quickly. I give up.
The NFL system has beaten me into submission in just three short weeks and I have decided to officially abandon it which leaves the NFL pointspread system with the honor of being the first official failed betting system of the 2003 season. At least it went out with a bangDJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1064128679905350712003-09-21T00:17:00.000-07:002003-09-21T00:18:12.436-07:00THIS WEEK’S NFL ACTION – LIKE IT OR NOT
Now as happy as I’ve been with the performance of my college system so far, the NFL system has been a lot more, uh, frustrating. And if it keeps up at its 30% pace this weekend I’m really going to flip out because a) I hate almost every one of the plays, and b) it’s got me betting 8 NFL games. On the bright side, it’s sure going to make me interested in DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1064127396862205662003-09-20T23:56:00.000-07:002003-09-20T23:56:36.233-07:00A STRONG SATURDAY
The College System worked well today as I went 4-1 on the day, with a couple of easy victories and the one loss coming in a tough Georgia-LSU game in which Georgia lost by a TD after missing three field goals. All in all, a pretty strong day. It’s also notable that the heavy road favorite aspect of the system continues to be money with two more covers this week pushing it to DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1063958436640258812003-09-19T01:00:00.000-07:002003-09-19T01:00:36.763-07:00SATURDAY’S SYSTEM PLAYS
Here’s a look at this week’s college system plays and - as a special Gambler bonus – a look at how each game is being viewed by other handicappers courtesy of Wagerline.
MIAMI –12 at Boston College
57% of handicappers on Wagerline seem to agree with this pick even laying 12.5 points.
NORTHWESTERN +3 at Duke
Not a lot of action on this game, with just 43% of the plays DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1063779159999848872003-09-16T23:12:00.000-07:002003-09-16T23:12:39.986-07:00THE SUNDAY STRUGGLES CONTINUE
Due to circumstances beyond The Gambler’s control – namely being in Vegas – I was unable to post last weekend’s NFL picks. Unfortunately for me, I was still able to bet them. I’ll spare you the ghastly details, but suffice it to say the system went just 1-5 for me on the day. That brings the NFL system to a very disappointing 3-10 overall. A 60% win rate sure DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1063602641504365222003-09-14T22:10:00.000-07:002003-09-14T22:10:41.560-07:00ADVENTURES IN COLLEGE BETTING
The Magnificent Seven proved less than magnificent this weekend as the system plays continue to struggle and I went 3-4 in this week’s college plays. A look inside the numbers reveals that betting on heavy road favorites has been a solid play so far though (thanks largely to how bad Arizona has been) as that part of the system has gone 4-0 through two weeks. On DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1063344655245363002003-09-11T22:30:00.000-07:002003-09-11T22:31:33.020-07:00THE MAGNIFICENT SEVEN
Here’s a breakdown of this weekend’s college system plays.
CONNECTICUT +4 Boston College
U Conn has looked good early in this season and BC has been vulnerable, but I can’t say I have much of a feel for this matchup.
OREGON –11.5 Arizona
Another huge favorite visits Arizona. I won cash on LSU last week in this spot, hopefully Oregon will follow suit.
TULANE +3.5 DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1063343927191295222003-09-11T22:18:00.000-07:002003-09-11T22:18:47.213-07:00CAL IS KILLING ME!
For the second time this season I lost money on a California game. The Golden Bears had their chances against Utah tonight, but missed a long FG and then let Utah march right down the field for the winning (and in my case losing) score. First loss for the NCAA system.
OVERALL RECORD: 8-10
NFL RECORD: 2-5
COLLEGE RECORD: 6-5
BANKROLL: - $50.21
DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1063262294265354562003-09-10T23:38:00.000-07:002003-09-10T23:38:14.230-07:00WILL THE GOLDEN BEARS BE GOLDEN?
I’ve got a college system play for tomorrow night. Hopefully, the undefeated college system streak will continue.
CALIFORNIA +1.5 Utah
I was impressed earlier in the year with the Cal coach and even though I won by betting against Cal last week, this week they seem a decent pick – especially with Utah throwing a backup QB out there this week.
DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1063003683442691152003-09-07T23:48:00.000-07:002003-09-07T23:48:03.356-07:00A SUNDAY SWOON
I knew back-to-back winning days was too much to ask for. The debut of my new NFL system didn’t quite work out nearly as well as my college system had as I went 2-5 on the day. And most of the games that I lost weren’t even close – including the Bears game that I wound up having to bet because it fit the system despite my bad feeling about it. Nonetheless, the system still had DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1062914792973922752003-09-06T23:06:00.000-07:002003-09-06T23:06:33.070-07:00WILL THE SYSTEM WORK ON SUNDAYS TOO?
So the NCAA “System” proved its worth in its first week of use – can the NFL version of the system do so as well? Let’s hope so, because the system produced a whopping 6 plays for Sunday’s action with a potential 7th play looming. Here’s what I’ve got…
BALTIMORE +5 at Pittsburgh
Boller’s looked good, Porter’s got a bullet in his butt, and I actually think DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1062913916778151122003-09-06T22:51:00.000-07:002003-09-06T22:51:56.823-07:00ALL HAIL THE SYSTEM
Wow. Who could have imagined that my new NCAA “system” would actually work? Believe it or not, The Gambler just had an undefeated Saturday of gambling, as I went 4-0 thanks to the new system plays. Who knows how I would have done picking on my own, but I definitely would have bet on Auburn so that would have been at least 0-1.
The system resulted in convincing covers inDJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1062743216986152022003-09-04T23:26:00.000-07:002003-09-04T23:26:57.030-07:00THE SYSTEM SPEAKETH…
Well, I’ve got my first week’s worth of college plays under the new “system” (detailed below). If nothing else, this should make for an interesting weekend. The hand the system dealt me this weekend includes two big road favorites and a pair of narrow road dogs in tight matchups. Here’s the picks…
UCLA +2.5 at Colorado
Kirk Herbstreit’s “upset special” of the week.
DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1062714952930973902003-09-04T15:35:00.000-07:002003-09-04T15:35:52.910-07:00BEGINNER'S LUCK
So while The Gambler was busy losing games last weekend, this guy was busy going 10-5 and 4-0 on his "lock" picks. Of course, this is a guy who also wrote that "If you use my predictions as a gambling "resource," you do so at your own risk. I'm not a professional, I'm not doing this for gambling purposes, and it shouldn't be seen as anything more than the meaningless thing it isDJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1062475917838787972003-09-01T21:11:00.000-07:002003-09-01T21:11:57.890-07:00WHEN IN DOUBT…DEVELOP A SYSTEM
Ok, so maybe this season’s gambling isn’t off to quite the start I had hoped for. But have no fear…The Gambler may be a loser, but he’s no quitter. Instead of giving up I have gone deep inside the numbers in yet another valiant attempt to crack the elusive code that is sports handicapping. And this time (just like every other time), I believe I may have found DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1062390654480188592003-08-31T21:30:00.000-07:002003-08-31T21:30:54.466-07:00TRYING TO BE TOO SMART IS ALWAYS STUPID
So I flip on the TV Sunday afternoon and I see that the Kentucky-Louisville game is in the midst of a 45-minute “lightning delay” and it looks like a hurricane is pouring down on the stadium. Now most people would have immediately changed the channel to check out the MTV Road Rules marathon, but not The Gambler. Instead, I raced to the computer to place DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1062363301328265092003-08-31T13:55:00.000-07:002003-08-31T13:55:01.373-07:00SO CLOSE…AND YET SO FAR
Well, the first full weekend of college betting action is in the books for The Gambler and it turned out less than spectacular thanks to a couple of close losses. In fact, the two bets I lost were by a combined 4.5 points. Here’s a look at the results…
Saturday started off on a high note when Wisconsin came from behind against West Virginia and got me a solid cover on DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1062192744083353302003-08-29T14:32:00.000-07:002003-08-29T14:32:24.073-07:00BATTLE OF THE BUMS
Sometimes good bet opportunities show up where you least expect them – like in a game between what may be the two worst teams in college football.
BUFFALO +12 RUTGERS
THE BASICS: Rutgers shouldn’t be favored by 12 points against a Jr. High girls team. To give you an idea of how bad the Rutgers football program has been, check out these numbers: They’ve gone 3-20 over DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1062181498829951592003-08-29T11:24:00.000-07:002003-08-29T11:24:58.846-07:00BET THE BADGERS
I’ll take the Big Ten over the Big East any day…at least any day that Miami and Virginia Tech are not involved.
WISCONSIN –3 WEST VIRGINIA
THE BASICS: Winning in West Virginia is no easy task, but Wisconsin looks more than up to the challenge. I think the Badgers are a little underated coming off a disappointing but injury-plagued season. In this matchup, Wisconsin has theDJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1062140502990515472003-08-29T00:01:00.000-07:002003-08-29T00:01:42.943-07:00THOSE STORMIN’ MORMONS
See? Now this is the way it’s supposed to work out. I bet on a team to cover, they go out and do it, and I pocket some cash. Shockingly it took just my second pick of the year to get my first win as BYU came through against Georgia Tech in a hideously played game.
I have to say that Tech’s true freshman QB actually looked better than expected and had me worried for DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1062098958988902922003-08-28T12:29:00.000-07:002003-08-28T12:29:18.963-07:00BIG RED BLOWS
This Saturday could be the beginning of the end for the Frank Solich era at Nebraska…let’s hope so for my bet’s sake.
OKLAHOMA STATE +7.5 NEBRASKA
THE BASICS: In addition to the Playstation Philosophy (which was detailed in all its stupidity in a previous post), my bet on Oklahoma St. in this one comes from the most basic point of all – I think they are simply a better team DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1061944143530042732003-08-26T17:29:00.000-07:002003-08-26T17:29:03.580-07:00TALK ABOUT A RAMBLING WRECK...
Will my second bet of the season bring me my first win? We can only hope....
BYU -3.5 GEORGIA TECH
THE BASICS: Georgia Tech is a big-name program over the past few years which this year looks primed for a major nosedive -- only early in the season a lot of people don't seem to realize that. While sports radio personalities on the west coast refer to Georgia DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1061779298562519502003-08-24T19:41:00.000-07:002003-08-24T19:43:14.090-07:00FALSE START
Well…they don’t call it a gamble for nothing. The college football season got off to a less than spectacular start for The Gambler yesterday as Kansas St. fell two touchdowns short of covering against an overmatched Cal team. Though Kansas St. was clearly the better team and proved virtually unstoppable (scoring on their first 5 possessions I believe), it’s real tough to cover a 28DJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1061578955144160372003-08-22T12:02:00.000-07:002003-08-22T12:02:35.023-07:00LET THE GAMES BEGIN
Ahhh...college football season is upon us and with it, the first bet of the season and the launching of this site. Over the course of this season I intend to track all my bets on this here aptly named site for your enjoyment and as a reminder to myself that no matter how much I think I know...the reality is I know nothing at all. So keeping that confidence boosting thoughtDJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5605571.post-1058921575255417472003-07-22T17:52:00.000-07:002003-07-22T18:10:08.730-07:00THE PLAYSTATION PHILOSOPHY
If it's in the game, will it really be in the game? As we all know Playstation football has become insanely realistic, but can it really be used as a barometer of what's going to happen on the field in so-called "real life?" I don't know, but what I do know is that I'm just dumb enough to find out. That's why fresh off my first season of playing with the Oklahoma StDJ Specnoreply@blogger.com0